Two days of election analysis show that beauty is in the eye of the beholder, that you can write almost anything and be right. Let's say that the Naprednjaci are seriously damaged and that they came to the brink of a fiasco in Belgrade. But also that the so-called the civil opposition failed, even considering the conditions in which the race took place.
Here's a little top-list, from the biggest winners to the biggest losers of these elections:
- Ivica Dačić and the Socialists
Ivica Dacic, the uncrowned king of diving for breath in the political mud, survived the Fifth of October, the Dosov government, the files in Vučić's drawer, to pull a hundred thousand more voters out of the hat than last time and an excellent result in Belgrade, where the polls saw him on the edge of the census.
Now nothing can be done without the Socialists, regardless of Vučić's barren messages that he has a majority in the Parliament with the Hungarians (read: his friend Orbán). Perhaps the day is not far when the political fox Dacic will complete the pirouette and defect to the side of some future winners.
- Aleksandar Vučić
The refrigerator president has finally succeeded in his bid to emancipate himself from the party. Aleksandar Vucic is an entity unto itself, but it comes at a price, as will be seen in point 8 of this list. He is no longer what the Germans would call his regime Draught horse (a draft horse), but rides far ahead, carried by a retinue of fools and with the echo of the tabloids.
The easy victory in the first round led Vučić to the description dedicated to him by the late Lane Gutović, in his own style: "One man, one thought, one decision, one lightning rod for one nation." As was Napoleon, as was Hitler, Stalin..."
- Milos Jovanovic
Serbia's only salon nationalist cashed in on the fact that he was deliberately hosted on televisions that most opposition members could not even approach. DSS, a zombie heartthrob that was thought to have died with Kostunica's retirement, has been revived.
The Russian card ruled yes Milos Jovanovic is the most sought-after matchmaker of the spring/summer season, but many matchmakers remain sedentary.
- We must
We enter the part of the list that did not go exceptionally well, but solidly. Coalition We must is there primarily because any green-left force in Serbia was science fiction until recently. Ne davimo Belgrade has done well in the capital with thorough and long-term work.
But there lies the catch: Moramo got more than half of his votes in Belgrade. Will they be able to become a national force? Or will the three-member coalition break up until the next election?
- Doors and Covenants
Right-wing shenanigans, splits and coalitions are hard to understand without delving into the depths of obscure YouTube shows. Even then it is not the clearest.
Only, the radical rightists, who do not differ in the matter, but differ in their attitude towards the government, were simply lucky that the votes were distributed so that three lists passed the census. It could have been just one or two. We have known for a long time that there are voters for the right.
- Pride
Presidential candidate Zdravko Ponoš he fared significantly better than the list that nominated him with friction, even though he went to the campaign with one car, a stick and a rope. That says something good about Ponoš, who was demonized by the progressive media.
In the end, he surpassed the result of Saša Janković from 2017, but he did not reach the magical sum of Janković and Jeremic from the last election, and only that sum gave any chance of being in the second round.
- Persistent people under the census
Moving on to the clear losers: Former president Boris Tadić pushed the list to the brink of the census in Belgrade and thus killed a significant number of votes. His giant ego still keeps him in politics and there is no hope of that changing.
Saša Radulović's sovereignist caravan is again below the census, because the classical beating of patriotic chests still goes down better than American themes. alt right. The Radicals should also be mentioned here, although their mission is not to engage in politics, but for Vojislav Šešelj to sit with Marić and ensure a peaceful life for his descendants.
- Progressives
In vain did the president hide his party beliefs behind some doctors, mathematicians and athletes, in vain did the machinery squeeze out the last capillary vote. The decline of SNS is considerable, when they settle the satellites they will not have even one hundred deputies in the Assembly. In Belgrade, they got their heads off the stump only thanks to petty shenanigans at the polling stations.
For Vučić, this is a problem. He is talking for the tenth time that he will leave the head of the party, but in a few years, when the second presidential term expires, he will have to emerge as its leader again and run for prime minister. People like Brnabić, Stefanović, Malog and Momirović are increasingly difficult to sell to an intimidated or bribed electorate.
- United
"Đilas's List" made its own efforts and partially succeeded in usurping the title of that one opposition column. Her defeat is all the greater. Although they suffered the most blows from the regime, it turned out that they played ziherashki, as if they wanted the audience of N1 and Twitter to vote for them, and no one else. They raised their hands from the villages and towns, where they often did not have a single person.
Everyone in the bazaar knew that Jeremic's People's Party was on that list against their will, that is, only to somehow get into the Assembly. A list of a dozen groups, each of which may take its side, will be a generator of new oppositional divisions. And then, in one or two years, the story of unification will start again, and one and the same analysts will talk about the optimal number of columns.
- Paw
Which Paw, who was that? The man disintegrated, was his own executioner and a minus for the Progressives in Belgrade. It turns out that Šapić's voters they don't exist. There are people who once voted for Šapić, but they clearly do not smell the SNS. In other words, Vučić overcame him, but also shot himself in the foot. Vesić must be smiling mischievously.
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