Uncertainty about sanction to NIS is definitely already making changes on the financial market in Serbia.
The official average exchange rate of the euro on Wednesday, December 10, is 117,4214 dinars, which is again a slight increase compared to the day before. However, when you look at the exchange rate, which is normally prescribed by the National Bank of Serbia, from a month ago - the growth is evident, so we reached 120 dinars for the euro in some exchange offices, while banks offer even less favorable terms.
The country's central bank restricts exchange offices, so they cannot offer foreign currency at the exchange rate they deem appropriate. They can sell the euro for a maximum of 1,25 percent more than the official mid-rate on that day. Nevertheless, the NBS allows the exchange offices to calculate another one percent of additional profit in this ratio. Thus, at the middle exchange rate, which is less than 117,5 dinars, the purchase price of the euro exceeds 120 dinars.
Avoid exchange offices in banks
The exchange rate list for those who exchange money in banks is different, because they do not fall under the restrictions of the National Bank of Serbia. These limits of plus or minus 1,25 percent of the average exchange rate do not apply to them. Thus, as a rule, the exchange rate of the euro in private banks is much higher than that in exchange offices and already greatly exceeds 120 dinars for one euro.
NBS publishes data on its website on the maximum amount of dinars that banks charge when selling securities. They are submitted to the NBS every working day.
What about loans?
Citizens who have large loans, especially those with housing loans, are not in big problems since the exchange rate changed. Although banks do not have an obligation in their exchange offices to adjust the foreign exchange rate in relation to the middle exchange rate of the NBS, they still have the obligation to collect loans in dinars, which are indexed in euros, at the middle exchange rate of the National Bank of Serbia on the day of collection.
What can be a problem for citizens in these cases is that the NBS starts raising the average exchange rate of the euro more seriously. In the case of large loans, this percentage of the difference in installments could also be substantial.
If, however, there is a large gap between supply and demand, and because of that, the restriction of the euro, theoretically there is a possibility to create a black foreign exchange market, which the citizens of the country already experienced in the 1990s.