International Monetary Fund (IMF) once again reduced its forecast for the economic growth of Serbia for 2025, to 2,4 percent, compared to 3,5 percent, which they projected in April this year.
Also, in the IMF's "World Economic Review" report, Serbia ranks 26th in Europe in terms of projected GDP for the coming year.
For weaker economic activity, the President of Serbia Aleksandar Vučić he repeatedly blamed "blockades and inaction", alluding to the anti-government protests that have been going on since November 2024, and were started due to the fall of the canopy of the Railway Station in Novi Sad.
Despite this claim, in June the president of the country said that he expects the gross domestic product to grow by more than three percent, but the World Bank still expects it to be 2,8 percent in 2025.
This is 1,1 percentage points less than in 2024, and the World Bank reduced expectations by 0,7 percentage points, or by a fifth, compared to the projections from April this year.
It should also be added that foreign direct investments have more than halved compared to the same period last year, which "Vreme" already wrote about.
What is the problem with the economy?
This year, there was less corn, sugar beet, soybeans, raspberries, cherries, plums and apples, while there was more wheat, sunflower and grapes than in 2024, according to preliminary data from the Republic Statistical Office (RZS).
This is the second time that the projections of the World Bank for the current year have been lowered, because it was initially expected that the growth in Serbia will amount to four percent, writes Aleksandar Zdravković, senior researcher of the Institute of Economic Sciences (IEN).
Despite the problems, even with the predicted rate of 2,8 percent, Serbia would grow faster than the average in the European Union. This would achieve a "certain degree" of approaching those countries in terms of living standards, although the performance of the Serbian economy this time was affected by internal uncertainty, as well as the deterioration of the business climate in the world, writes BBS in Serbian.
West Balkan
The Serbian economy is the largest in the Western Balkans and its weaker result in 2025 is the main reason for the lower projections for the entire region, which will have a growth of 2,8 percent this year, and in 2024 it was 3,5 percent, the World Bank announced.
Only North Macedonia and Montenegro are waiting for a "modest acceleration", according to the World Bank. For those two countries, the growth projections were increased compared to April, as well as for Albania, they were unchanged for Kosovo, and they were decreased for Serbia and Bosnia and Herzegovina.
The World Bank also warned of the increasingly difficult situation with the workforce in the six countries of the Western Balkans, and they forecast that they will have 190.000 fewer workers in the next five years.
Due to the transition to renewable energy sources and the increasingly widespread use of artificial intelligence in the economy, about 20 percent of workers in the region may have to be retrained to perform other jobs and occupations.