After a gloomy, rainy May, during which we even received the first meteorological SMS warning of a storm in Belgrade, times u Serbia it suddenly turned around.
Until recently, we had almost winter nights with temperatures below 10 degrees, and now the night temperatures in the capital and in some places in Vojvodina go above the tropical 20 degrees Celsius.
Until recently, we were crying for heating, and now we need air conditioners much more.
All this is the result of the first summer heat wave in Serbia with temperatures up to ten degrees above average, Klima 101 writes.
What will the summer be like?
Although calendar summer hasn't actually started yet, for meteorologists it has: in meteorology, summer includes all of June, July and August.
The seasonal forecast of RHMZ says: the summer will be warmer than average and dry.
The forecast deviation of the summer temperature (June-August) is plus two degrees Celsius compared to the thirty-year average, with below-average precipitation.
However, we must bear in mind that the aforementioned anomaly refers to the reference period from 1991 to 2020, when climate change had already taken hold and that the rise in temperature would be even more drastic in the case of comparison with former averages.
June is expected to be three degrees warmer than normal. The same deviation was recorded in June last year, which currently holds the record as the warmest June in the history of measurements in our country.
In other words, if the forecasts come true, June this year in Serbia could also be on the list of the hottest.
Tropical summer
When it comes to those warmer, tropical days with temperatures above the 30th division on the Celsius scale, they could be between 45 and 65 in the plain areas, during the meteorological summer, according to the data of RHMZ. This means that more than two-thirds of the days could be tropical, that is, more than two of the three months in total.
If we go not so far back in time, we would see the drama of this data: from 1961 to 1990, an average of 20-30 tropical days occurred in the lower altitude areas.
So, the forecast number of tropical days this summer is twice as high as it used to be.
Heat waves
Visiting Newsmax Balkans, meteorologist from RHMZ, Slobodan Sovilj, mentioned that prolonged and more intense heat waves are also ahead of us.
Although the current heat wave is the first of this summer in Serbia, it is not the first of this year: RHMZ registered as many as three heat waves in January, one of which continued in early February, and another one in March.
On the other hand, between 1961 and 1990, less than one heat wave occurred in our country per year.
In the last decade, this average increased to as many as four heat waves per year, and in the decade between 2011 and 2020 there were as many as six years with more than four heat waves between January and December. Apparently, this 2025 will be similar.
In the past, the hottest summer in our country since 1951, five heat waves were registered. But not only summer took the infamous title of the hottest, but also every single summer month: June, July and August.
Serbia is warming up faster
Serbia is warming faster than the global average: according to the insights of Dr. Ana Vuković Vimić from the Faculty of Agriculture in Belgrade, while from 2011 to 2020 the world warmed by 1,1 degrees compared to the pre-industrial period, the warming in our country amounted to 1,8 degrees Celsius.
The biggest increase in temperature is observed during the summer: nine out of the ten hottest summers in our country occurred after 2000.
And if ambitious and urgent climate action is absent, the future will be even bleaker: in the middle of the century, the temperature in urban areas in Serbia will exceed 42 degrees with a humidity of 50 percent, and even 50 degrees Celsius with a humidity of 20 percent.
"The temperature will rise so much by the middle of the century that, in two to three years per decade, so-called 'deadly heat waves' will occur," said Vuković Vimić at a round table held in November last year at the Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts (SANU).
Source: Air Conditioning 101